@article{Cumb-Mode-1987, title = {Testing for Market Timing Ability: A Framework for Forecast Evaluation}, author = {Robert E. Cumby and David M. Modest}, month = {January}, pages = {169-189}, volume = {19}, year = {1987}, biburl = {http://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/21f204586cf10e01cecb0560631b30536/deepgorge}, abstract = {In this paper, we examine the Henriksson-Merton test of market timing and its potential usefulness in evaluating investment advice. The paper proposes a natural extension of the test that is valid under more general assumptions about the distribution of asset returns. We show that the Henriksson-Merton test and its more general counterpart are special cases of standard tests of market rationality and efficiency. Both tests are applied to a group of foreign exchange advisory.}, keywords = {imported } }