Misc,

The fixation time of a strongly beneficial allele in a structured population

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(2014)cite arxiv:1402.1769.

Abstract

For a beneficial allele which enters a large unstructured population and eventually goes to fixation, it is known that the time to fixation is approximately $2łog(\alpha)/\alpha$ for a large selection coefficent $\alpha$. In the presence of spatial structure with migration between colonies we detect various regimes of the migration rate $\mu$ for which the fixation times have different asymptotics as $ınfty$. If $\mu$ is of order $\alpha$, the allele fixes (as in the spatially unstructured case) in time $\sim 2łog(\alpha)/\alpha$. If $\mu$ is of order $\alpha^p, 0p 1$, the fixation time is $(2 + (1-p)d) łog(\alpha)/\alpha$, where $d$ is the maximum of the migration steps that are required from the colony where the beneficial allele entered to any other colony. If $= 1/łog(\alpha)$, the fixation time is $(2+S)łog(\alpha)/\alpha$, where $S$ is a random time in a simple epidemic model. The main idea for our analysis is to combine a new moment dual for the process conditioned to fixation with the time reversal in equilibrium of a spatial version of Neuhauser and Krone's ancestral selection graph.

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