%0 Journal Article %1 1748-9326-9-8-084019 %A Chan, S C %A Kendon, E J %A Fowler, H J %A Blenkinsop, S %A Roberts, N M %D 2014 %J Environmental Research Letters %K Projection RCM UnitedKingdom highResolution precipitation subdaily %N 8 %P 084019 %T Projected increases in summer and winter UK sub-daily precipitation extremes from high-resolution regional climate models %U http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/9/i=8/a=084019 %V 9 %X Summer (June–July–August; JJA) UK precipitation extremes projections from two UK Met Office high-resolution (12 km and 1.5 km) regional climate models (RCMs) are shown to be resolution dependent. The 1.5 km RCM projects a uniform ( ##IMG## http://ej.iop.org/images/1748-9326/9/8/084019/erl499663ieqn1.gif $10\%$ ) increase in 1 h JJA precipitation intensities across a range of return periods. The 12 km RCM, in contrast, projects decreases in short return period (≦̸5 years) events but strong increases in long return period (⩾20 years) events. We have low physical and statistical confidence in the 12 km RCM projections for longer return periods. Both models show evidence for longer dry periods between events. In winter (December–January–February; DJF), the models show larger return level increases (⩾40%). Both DJF projections are consistent with results from previous work based on coarser resolution models.

@article{1748-9326-9-8-084019, abstract = {Summer (June–July–August; JJA) UK precipitation extremes projections from two UK Met Office high-resolution (12 km and 1.5 km) regional climate models (RCMs) are shown to be resolution dependent. The 1.5 km RCM projects a uniform ( ##IMG## [http://ej.iop.org/images/1748-9326/9/8/084019/erl499663ieqn1.gif] {$\approx 10\%$} ) increase in 1 h JJA precipitation intensities across a range of return periods. The 12 km RCM, in contrast, projects decreases in short return period (≦̸5 years) events but strong increases in long return period (⩾20 years) events. We have low physical and statistical confidence in the 12 km RCM projections for longer return periods. Both models show evidence for longer dry periods between events. In winter (December–January–February; DJF), the models show larger return level increases (⩾40%). Both DJF projections are consistent with results from previous work based on coarser resolution models.}, added-at = {2014-09-02T09:36:35.000+0200}, author = {Chan, S C and Kendon, E J and Fowler, H J and Blenkinsop, S and Roberts, N M}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/2cc69c025bb3bb9f655450e541d1dfb94/marsianus}, description = {Projected increases in summer and winter UK sub-daily precipitation extremes from high-resolution regional climate models - IOPscience}, interhash = {bfeb9718823a0d74ca7e7f7b880feee8}, intrahash = {cc69c025bb3bb9f655450e541d1dfb94}, journal = {Environmental Research Letters}, keywords = {Projection RCM UnitedKingdom highResolution precipitation subdaily}, number = 8, pages = 084019, timestamp = {2014-09-02T09:36:35.000+0200}, title = {Projected increases in summer and winter UK sub-daily precipitation extremes from high-resolution regional climate models}, url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/9/i=8/a=084019}, volume = 9, year = 2014 }