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The Aggregative Contingent Estimation System: Selecting, Rewarding, and Training Experts in a Wisdom of Crowds Approach to Forecasting., , , , , , , , , and 2 other author(s). AAAI Spring Symposium: Wisdom of the Crowd, volume SS-12-06 of AAAI Technical Report, AAAI, (2012)Modeling Ellsberg's Paradox in Vague-Vague Cases., and . ISIPTA, page 249-257. (1999)Does past volatility affect investors' price forecasts and confidence judgements?, and . International Journal of Forecasting, 23 (3): 497--511 (00 2007)The Effects of Imprecise Probabilities and Outcomes in Evaluating Investment Options., and . Manag. Sci., 51 (12): 1791-1803 (2005)Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds., and . Manag. Sci., 61 (2): 267-280 (2015)When is a crowd wise?, , , and . CoRR, (2014)Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments., , , and . Decision Analysis, 16 (3): 197-217 (2019)The effects of asymmetry among advisors on the aggregation of their opinions, , , and . Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 90 (1): 178--194 (January 2003)Integration of Linguistic Probabilities., , , and . Int. J. Man Mach. Stud., 33 (6): 657-676 (1990)Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events†., , , , , , , , , and 19 other author(s). AI Mag., 44 (1): 112-128 (March 2023)