Floods, wildfires, heatwaves and droughts often result from a combination of interacting physical processes across multiple spatial and temporal scales. The combination of processes (climate drivers and hazards) leading to a significant impact is referred to as a ‘compound event’. Traditional risk assessment methods typically only consider one driver and/or hazard at a time, potentially leading to underestimation of risk, as the processes that cause extreme events often interact and are spatially and/or temporally dependent. Here we show how a better understanding of compound events may improve projections of potential high-impact events, and can provide a bridge between climate scientists, engineers, social scientists, impact modellers and decision-makers, who need to work closely together to understand these complex events.
Description
Future climate risk from compound events | Nature Climate Change
%0 Journal Article
%1 zscheischler2018future
%A Zscheischler, Jakob
%A Westra, Seth
%A van den Hurk, Bart J. J. M.
%A Seneviratne, Sonia I.
%A Ward, Philip J.
%A Pitman, Andy
%A AghaKouchak, Amir
%A Bresch, David N.
%A Leonard, Michael
%A Wahl, Thomas
%A Zhang, Xuebin
%D 2018
%J Nature Climate Change
%K climate\_impacts, multi\_hazard, risk,
%N 6
%P 469--477
%R 10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3
%T Future climate risk from compound events
%U https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3
%V 8
%X Floods, wildfires, heatwaves and droughts often result from a combination of interacting physical processes across multiple spatial and temporal scales. The combination of processes (climate drivers and hazards) leading to a significant impact is referred to as a ‘compound event’. Traditional risk assessment methods typically only consider one driver and/or hazard at a time, potentially leading to underestimation of risk, as the processes that cause extreme events often interact and are spatially and/or temporally dependent. Here we show how a better understanding of compound events may improve projections of potential high-impact events, and can provide a bridge between climate scientists, engineers, social scientists, impact modellers and decision-makers, who need to work closely together to understand these complex events.
@article{zscheischler2018future,
abstract = {Floods, wildfires, heatwaves and droughts often result from a combination of interacting physical processes across multiple spatial and temporal scales. The combination of processes (climate drivers and hazards) leading to a significant impact is referred to as a ‘compound event’. Traditional risk assessment methods typically only consider one driver and/or hazard at a time, potentially leading to underestimation of risk, as the processes that cause extreme events often interact and are spatially and/or temporally dependent. Here we show how a better understanding of compound events may improve projections of potential high-impact events, and can provide a bridge between climate scientists, engineers, social scientists, impact modellers and decision-makers, who need to work closely together to understand these complex events.},
added-at = {2018-07-26T15:37:01.000+0200},
author = {Zscheischler, Jakob and Westra, Seth and van den Hurk, Bart J. J. M. and Seneviratne, Sonia I. and Ward, Philip J. and Pitman, Andy and AghaKouchak, Amir and Bresch, David N. and Leonard, Michael and Wahl, Thomas and Zhang, Xuebin},
biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/218045506b1f26aca78e860ac712c3ed6/rutgerdankers},
description = {Future climate risk from compound events | Nature Climate Change},
doi = {10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3},
interhash = {ada3bcc2b06bb713b60b5d5a6a0d1e7f},
intrahash = {18045506b1f26aca78e860ac712c3ed6},
issn = {17586798},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
keywords = {climate\_impacts, multi\_hazard, risk,},
number = 6,
pages = {469--477},
refid = {Zscheischler2018},
timestamp = {2018-07-26T15:37:01.000+0200},
title = {Future climate risk from compound events},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3},
volume = 8,
year = 2018
}