@dallmann

A Deep Hybrid Model for Weather Forecasting

, , and . Proceedings of the 21th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, page 379--386. New York, NY, USA, ACM, (2015)
DOI: 10.1145/2783258.2783275

Abstract

Weather forecasting is a canonical predictive challenge that has depended primarily on model-based methods. We explore new directions with forecasting weather as a data-intensive challenge that involves inferences across space and time. We study specifically the power of making predictions via a hybrid approach that combines discriminatively trained predictive models with a deep neural network that models the joint statistics of a set of weather-related variables. We show how the base model can be enhanced with spatial interpolation that uses learned long-range spatial dependencies. We also derive an efficient learning and inference procedure that allows for large scale optimization of the model parameters. We evaluate the methods with experiments on real-world meteorological data that highlight the promise of the approach.

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