Abstract

China is well on its way to becoming a science super power, thanks to massive public investment in research and development (R&D) and a strong science and technology workforce. But its rise may still be hampered by the country's rigid political system and 'research misconduct', warns a recently published report by Demos, a UK think tank. 'The Atlas of Ideas: mapping the new geography of science' includes reports on the speed of scientific innovation in the emerging economies of China, India and South Korea. On China, the report describes the key factors leading to the country's increasingly sturdy research base, which include government spending. 'Right now, the country is at an early stage in the most ambitious programme of research investment since John F Kennedy embarked on the race to the moon,' say the authors of the report. Since 1999, China's investment in R&D has increased by more than 20% each year. In 2005 it reached 1.3% of gross domestic product (GDP), up from 0.7% in 1998. By 2020, the country plans to spend as much as 2.5% of GDP on research. In December 2006, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) announced that China had moved ahead of Japan for the first time, to become the world's second highest R&D investor after the US. Meanwhile, countries across Europe are struggling to make headway towards the Lisbon targets of 3% of GDP, notes the report. Another factor determining the country's scientific innovation is the strength of its scientific workforce. The report estimates that Chinese universities are churning out 4.2 million new students per year, four times the figure for the mid-1990s: a large percentage of these are studying science -engineering and information technology (IT). Overall, there are currently 2.25 million scientists and engineers in China. China has also seen the return of some of the scientific workforce that left during and after the Cultural Revolution. The report estimates that in the past five or six years, what was a trickle of returnees has become a steady flow: approximately 170,000 people have been attracted back by a mix of national loyalty, family ties and government incentives. As a result of a replenished and well-qualified scientific workforce, China has seen a marked increase in the number of its scientific publications and citations. In terms of the quantity, China's contribution has risen sharply, from around 2% of the world share in 1995 to 6.5% in 2004, compared to 35% for the EU15 - the 15 countries that made up the EU until its enlargement in 2004. As for patents, invention applications have increased by 23% annually since 2000. The report suggests that these aggregate figures hide areas of real strength in the Chinese research base. It points to a recent analysis of nanoscience publications which shows that China now ranks third globally, just behind Japan, with the US some way ahead. Similarly, national figures conceal strong performances by some individual universities. One study found that Beijing University was in the top 1% of world institutions for citations for physics, chemistry, engineering, materials, mathematics and clinical medicine. Five other Chinese universities were in the top 1% for at least one of these fields. But in spite of the wealth evidence to suggest that China is rising fast and high, the report also finds some weaknesses in the current system. Probably the biggest challenge, according to the report, will be opening up the system to allow people and ideas to flow freely. 'Creativity depends ultimately on openness and the freedom to debate and disagree,' argue the authors of the report. 'Further reform of the education and political system is needed, but with 1.3 billion brains to draw on, the prospects for Chinese innovation have never looked brighter.' Also crucial to China's success is tackling the governance and regulation of the country's research base. Several incidents of high-profile plagiarism and research misconduct prompted the Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST) to introduce a series of measures, including the creation of a special office for research integrity, tough new penalties for plagiarism and falsifying data, and a tightening up of the system for project evaluation. But it will take time for these policies to have an effect, say the authors of the report who, in the meantime, suggest the need for more and better alliances between Chinese scientists, ethicists and policy-makers and their counterparts overseas. In doing so, both sides are set to benefit, argues the report. An example of a successful ethical alliance is the EU-funded BIONET project. It brings together scientists, social scientists and practitioners from China and Europe to exchange ideas and develop shared approaches to the governance of biomedicine. The goal of the network is to support joint research, inform policy, and build the capacity of participants to address the ethical questions raised by their work. Nikolas Rose, the coordinator of BIONET, says that they plan to start by looking at two areas: stem cell research and pharmacogenetics. Attempts to harmonise ethical frameworks should not, he argues, involve 'the unitary imposition of European values on China at the expense of its own ethical traditions and culture'.

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