Abstract
In his thesis, MacKay (1991) introduced figure
1, explaining how Bayes rule provides an automatic “Oc-
cam’s razor” effect, penalizing unnecessarily complex mod-
els. This figure has been adopted by several authors in the same schematic form. Here, after briefly reviewing neces-
sary material, we compute a realization of the plot for a
toy data modeling problem. We discuss interesting aspects
of this plot and their implications for understanding model complexity.
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