Abstract
It is unclear how elevated CO2 (eCO2) and the corresponding shifts in temperature and precipita-
tion will interact to impact ecosystems over time. During a 7-year experiment in a semi-arid grass-
land, the response of plant biomass to eCO2 and warming was largely regulated by interannual
precipitation, while the response of plant community composition was more sensitive to experi-
ment duration. The combined effects of eCO2 and warming on aboveground plant biomass were
less positive in ‘wet’ growing seasons, but total plant biomass was consistently stimulated by
~ 25% due to unique, supra-additive responses of roots. Independent of precipitation, the com-
bined effects of eCO2 and warming on C3 graminoids became increasingly positive and supra-
additive over time, reversing an initial shift toward C4 grasses. Soil resources also responded
dynamically and non-additively to eCO2 and warming, shaping the plant responses. Our results
suggest grasslands are poised for drastic changes in function and highlight the need for long-term,
factorial experiments.
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