Article,

Impacts of warming and elevated CO2 on a semi-arid grassland are non-additive, shift with precipitation, and reverse over time

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Ecology Letters, 19 (8): 956--966 (June 2016)
DOI: 10.1111/ele.12634

Abstract

It is unclear how elevated CO2 (eCO2) and the corresponding shifts in temperature and precipita- tion will interact to impact ecosystems over time. During a 7-year experiment in a semi-arid grass- land, the response of plant biomass to eCO2 and warming was largely regulated by interannual precipitation, while the response of plant community composition was more sensitive to experi- ment duration. The combined effects of eCO2 and warming on aboveground plant biomass were less positive in ‘wet’ growing seasons, but total plant biomass was consistently stimulated by ~ 25% due to unique, supra-additive responses of roots. Independent of precipitation, the com- bined effects of eCO2 and warming on C3 graminoids became increasingly positive and supra- additive over time, reversing an initial shift toward C4 grasses. Soil resources also responded dynamically and non-additively to eCO2 and warming, shaping the plant responses. Our results suggest grasslands are poised for drastic changes in function and highlight the need for long-term, factorial experiments.

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