Article,

How probable is it to be first born? and other branching-process applications to kinship problems

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Mathematical Biosciences, 59 (1): 1 - 15 (1982)
DOI: 10.1016/0025-5564(82)90105-5

Abstract

If an individual is sampled randomly from a population, what is the probability that he or she is first born? What is the probability distribution of his number of sisters or cousins? These are examples of kin-number problems. A general method to solve such problems in stable, exponentially growing populations is developed with the help of branching processes. An assortment of applications is made.

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