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UK Climate Projections: Briefing report

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Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK, (June 2009)

Abstract

This report provides a summary of the 2009 UK Climate Projections (UKCP09), consolidating for the general reader the scientific reports describing the methodology and some key projections of future climate change for the UK over the 21st century. The UKCP09 projections provide a basis for studies of impacts and vulnerability and decisions on adaptation to climate change in the UK over the 21st century. Projections are given of changes to climate, and of changes in the marine and coastal environment; recent trends in observed climate are also discussed. Each will be treated separately in this summary. As our understanding, and our modelling and statistical capabilities, improve, it is very likely that projections will change in the future. The UKCP09 projections are appropriate for decisions on adaptation to long-term climate change which need to be taken on the basis of current knowledge.

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