%0 Journal Article %1 Weber1990 %A Weber, Elke U. %A Hilton, Denis J. %C US %D 1990 %I American Psychological Assn %J Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception & Performance %K college context, interpretation numerical of probability statements, students verbal %N 4 %P 781--789 %T Contextual effects in the interpretations of probability words: Perceived base rate and severity of events. %U http://www.apa.org %V 16 %X Previous research has demonstrated substantial effects of context on the numerical interpretation of verbal probability statements and has attributed these effects to the perceived base-rate probability of the predicted events. These context effects are shown to be attributable to the perceived severity of the predicted event as well as to the perceived base rate. Furthermore, there is evidence for strong context effects that are not explained by either of these 2 variables. The implications of these results for the use of probability statements in the communication of verbal probability information are discussed. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2004 APA, all rights reserved)

@article{Weber1990, abstract = {Previous research has demonstrated substantial effects of context on the numerical interpretation of verbal probability statements and has attributed these effects to the perceived base-rate probability of the predicted events. These context effects are shown to be attributable to the perceived severity of the predicted event as well as to the perceived base rate. Furthermore, there is evidence for strong context effects that are not explained by either of these 2 variables. The implications of these results for the use of probability statements in the communication of verbal probability information are discussed. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2004 APA, all rights reserved)}, added-at = {2009-10-13T14:06:45.000+0200}, address = {US}, author = {Weber, Elke U. and Hilton, Denis J.}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/29a0acf0aaaf2501a75f3bdd07725648e/schultem}, file = {Weber1990.pdf:w\\Weber1990.pdf:PDF}, interhash = {b98d1271f353ef8722503e73d94d3e4a}, intrahash = {9a0acf0aaaf2501a75f3bdd07725648e}, issn = {0096-1523}, journal = {Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception \& Performance}, keywords = {college context, interpretation numerical of probability statements, students verbal}, number = 4, owner = {Michael}, pages = {781--789}, publisher = {American Psychological Assn}, timestamp = {2009-10-13T14:06:58.000+0200}, title = {Contextual effects in the interpretations of probability words: Perceived base rate and severity of events.}, url = {http://www.apa.org}, volume = 16, year = 1990 }