%0 Journal Article %1 Deng2015Countrylevel %A Deng, Yvonne Y. %A Koper, Michèle %A Haigh, Martin %A Dornburg, Veronika %D 2015 %J Biomass and Bioenergy %K review bioenergy climatechange energy renewables %P 253--267 %R 10.1016/j.biombioe.2014.12.003 %T Country-level assessment of long-term global bioenergy potential %U http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biombioe.2014.12.003 %V 74 %X Highlights • The global biofuel potential ranges from 40 to 190 EJ final energy in 2070. • In primary energy terms, up to 130–400 EJ could be made available in 2070. • Over 75\% of this comes from energy crops, the rest from (other) residues. • Of the 75\% at least 10\% and up to 90\% could come from lignocellulosic crops. • Brazil and Russia may be big exporters, and India and Nigeria substantial importers. Abstract Most long-term global energy scenarios rely on biomass for a variety of possible uses, but there is unlikely to be enough to replace the majority of fossil fuel use in all sectors. Improving the understanding of the sustainable and realistic potential for biomass is crucial. We present a comprehensive, country-based, bottom-up assessment of the land-based global biofuel (bioethanol and biodiesel) potential, taking into account a range of scenarios with varying yield gradients, land-use change and technology development, covering energy from both lignocellulosic and food crops as well as residues from agriculture and forestry. We have also gone beyond many other studies by analysing the potential for food crop based biofuels as well as lignocellulosic-sourced biofuels. We find a global biofuel supply potential increasing from 15–70 EJ final transport fuel energy (30–140 EJ primary energy) currently to 40–190 EJ (130–400 EJ) in 2070, depending on the development of land-use, productivity and technology mix. Over 3/4 of this potential comes from energy crops: up to 70\% could come from food crops and at least 10\% from lignocellulosic crops. The remaining quarter would be from agricultural and forestry residues. For comparison, current (2010) total global energy use (fuel, heat and electricity) stands at 365 EJ final energy (530 EJ primary energy). Depending on demand developments, countries such as Brazil or Russia could become net bioenergy exporters in the second half of the century, while others, such as India or Nigeria, may become net importers.

@article{Deng2015Countrylevel, abstract = {Highlights • The global biofuel potential ranges from 40 to 190 EJ final energy in 2070. • In primary energy terms, up to 130–400 EJ could be made available in 2070. • Over 75\% of this comes from energy crops, the rest from (other) residues. • Of the 75\% at least 10\% and up to 90\% could come from lignocellulosic crops. • Brazil and Russia may be big exporters, and India and Nigeria substantial importers. Abstract Most long-term global energy scenarios rely on biomass for a variety of possible uses, but there is unlikely to be enough to replace the majority of fossil fuel use in all sectors. Improving the understanding of the sustainable and realistic potential for biomass is crucial. We present a comprehensive, country-based, bottom-up assessment of the land-based global biofuel (bioethanol and biodiesel) potential, taking into account a range of scenarios with varying yield gradients, land-use change and technology development, covering energy from both lignocellulosic and food crops as well as residues from agriculture and forestry. We have also gone beyond many other studies by analysing the potential for food crop based biofuels as well as lignocellulosic-sourced biofuels. We find a global biofuel supply potential increasing from 15–70 EJ final transport fuel energy (30–140 EJ primary energy) currently to 40–190 EJ (130–400 EJ) in 2070, depending on the development of land-use, productivity and technology mix. Over 3/4 of this potential comes from energy crops: up to 70\% could come from food crops and at least 10\% from lignocellulosic crops. The remaining quarter would be from agricultural and forestry residues. For comparison, current (2010) total global energy use (fuel, heat and electricity) stands at 365 EJ final energy (530 EJ primary energy). Depending on demand developments, countries such as Brazil or Russia could become net bioenergy exporters in the second half of the century, while others, such as India or Nigeria, may become net importers.}, added-at = {2018-06-18T21:23:34.000+0200}, author = {Deng, Yvonne Y. and Koper, Mich\`{e}le and Haigh, Martin and Dornburg, Veronika}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/22cea0f3b8a782412005fdda98ca33411/pbett}, citeulike-article-id = {13516874}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biombioe.2014.12.003}, doi = {10.1016/j.biombioe.2014.12.003}, interhash = {d2619216c887617f3a3d53a6fa4a9b15}, intrahash = {2cea0f3b8a782412005fdda98ca33411}, issn = {09619534}, journal = {Biomass and Bioenergy}, keywords = {review bioenergy climatechange energy renewables}, month = mar, pages = {253--267}, posted-at = {2015-02-15 15:48:32}, priority = {2}, timestamp = {2018-06-22T18:34:41.000+0200}, title = {Country-level assessment of long-term global bioenergy potential}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biombioe.2014.12.003}, volume = 74, year = 2015 }