Abstract
LISA will extend the search for gravitational waves (GWs) at $0.1\,-\,100$
mHz where loud signals from coalescing binary black holes of $ 10^4
\,-\,10^7\,M_ødot$ are expected. Depending on their mass and
luminosity distance, the uncertainty in the LISA sky-localization decreases
from hundreds of deg$^2$ during the inspiral phase to fractions of a deg$^2$
after the merger. By using the semi-analytical model L-Galaxies applied to the
Millennium-I merger trees, we generate a simulated Universe to identify the
hosts of $z\,łeq\,3$ coalescing binaries with total mass of
$3\,\times\,10^5$, $3\,\times\,10^6$ and $3\,\times\,10^7\rm
M_ødot$, and varying mass ratio. We find that, even at the time of merger,
the number of galaxies around the LISA sources is too large ($\gtrsim\,10^2$)
to allow direct host identification. However, if an X-ray counterpart is
associated to the GW sources at $z\,<\,1$, all LISA fields at merger are
populated by $łesssim\,10$ AGNs emitting above $\sim\, 10^-17 \, \rm
erg\,cm^-2\,s^-1$. For sources at higher redshifts, the poorer
sky-localization causes this number to increase up to $\sim\, 10^3$. Archival
data from eRosita will allow discarding $\sim\, 10\%$ of these AGNs, being
too shallow to detect the dim X-ray luminosity of the GW sources. Inspiralling
binaries in an active phase with masses $łesssim\,10^6M_ødot$ at
$z\,łeq\,0.3$ can be detected, as early as $10$ hours before the merger, by
future X-ray observatories in less than a few minutes. For these systems,
$łesssim\,10$ AGNs are within the LISA sky-localization area. Finally, the
LISA-Taiji network would guarantee the identification of an X-ray counterpart
$10$ hours before merger for all binaries at $z\,łesssim\,1$.
Description
Galaxy fields of LISA massive black hole mergers in a simulated Universe
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