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Stochastic Optimization in a Cumulative Prospect Theory Framework

, , , , and . IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 63 (9): 2867--2882 (2018)

Abstract

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is a popular approach for modeling human preferences. It is based on probabilistic distortions and generalizes expected utility theory. We bring CPT to a stochastic optimization framework and propose algorithms for both estimation and optimization of CPT-value objectives. We propose an empirical distribution function-based scheme to estimate the CPT-value and then use this scheme in the inner loop of a CPT-value optimization procedure. We propose both gradient-based as well as gradient-free CPT-value optimization algorithms that are based on two well-known simulation optimization ideas: simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA) and model-based parameter search (MPS), respectively. We provide theoretical convergence guarantees for all the proposed algorithms and also illustrate the potential of CPT-based criteria in a traffic signal control application.

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