This paper explores the structural differences and relative goodness-of-fits of affine term structure models (ATSMs). Within the family of ATSMs there is a trade-off between flexibility in modeling the conditional correlations and volatilities of the risk factors. This trade-off is formalized by our classification of N-factor affine family into N + 1 non-nested subfamilies of models. Specializing to three-factor ATSMs, our analysis suggests, based on theoretical considerations and empirical evidence, that some subfamilies of ATSMs are better suited than others to explaining historical interest rate behavior.
%0 Journal Article
%1 citeulike:780112
%A Dai, Qiang
%A Singleton, Kenneth J.
%D 2000
%J The Journal of Finance
%K finmath, interest-rate-model
%N 5
%P 1943--1978
%R 10.2307/222481
%T Specification Analysis of Affine Term Structure Models
%U http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/222481
%V 55
%X This paper explores the structural differences and relative goodness-of-fits of affine term structure models (ATSMs). Within the family of ATSMs there is a trade-off between flexibility in modeling the conditional correlations and volatilities of the risk factors. This trade-off is formalized by our classification of N-factor affine family into N + 1 non-nested subfamilies of models. Specializing to three-factor ATSMs, our analysis suggests, based on theoretical considerations and empirical evidence, that some subfamilies of ATSMs are better suited than others to explaining historical interest rate behavior.
@article{citeulike:780112,
abstract = {{This paper explores the structural differences and relative goodness-of-fits of affine term structure models (ATSMs). Within the family of ATSMs there is a trade-off between flexibility in modeling the conditional correlations and volatilities of the risk factors. This trade-off is formalized by our classification of N-factor affine family into N + 1 non-nested subfamilies of models. Specializing to three-factor ATSMs, our analysis suggests, based on theoretical considerations and empirical evidence, that some subfamilies of ATSMs are better suited than others to explaining historical interest rate behavior.}},
added-at = {2019-06-18T20:47:03.000+0200},
author = {Dai, Qiang and Singleton, Kenneth J.},
biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/2a87664f529d809ead37639315c010bfb/alexv},
citeulike-article-id = {780112},
citeulike-attachment-1 = {dai_00_specification_24344.pdf; /pdf/user/alexv/article/780112/24344/dai_00_specification_24344.pdf; eea79b00b40d1ff1fed4286ba0c413c1d09db228},
citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/222481},
citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/222481},
doi = {10.2307/222481},
file = {dai_00_specification_24344.pdf},
interhash = {92f3bf3b088a5cbd310cc00756893ec2},
intrahash = {a87664f529d809ead37639315c010bfb},
journal = {The Journal of Finance},
keywords = {finmath, interest-rate-model},
number = 5,
pages = {1943--1978},
posted-at = {2007-06-11 20:57:16},
priority = {2},
timestamp = {2019-06-18T20:47:03.000+0200},
title = {{Specification Analysis of Affine Term Structure Models}},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/222481},
volume = 55,
year = 2000
}