Article,

Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model

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Nature Climate Change, 4 (7): 570--576 (2014)
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2258

Abstract

Changes in precipitation extremes are occurring under climate change, but how they will manifest on sub-daily timescales is uncertain. This study used a high-resolution model, typically used for weather forecasting, to simulate hourly rainfall in the UK in the year 2100. The results confirmed previous findings of winter rainfall intensification and found that short-duration rainfall intensified in summer, increasing the risk of flash flooding.

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