%0 Journal Article %1 Ambaum2010Significance %A Ambaum, Maarten H. P. %D 2010 %I American Meteorological Society %J J. Climate %K climate climatechange climatology statistics %N 22 %P 5927--5932 %R 10.1175/2010jcli3746.1 %T Significance Tests in Climate Science %U http://arxiv.org/abs/arXiv:1003.2934 %V 23 %X AbstractA large fraction of papers in the climate literature includes erroneous uses of significance tests. A Bayesian analysis is presented to highlight the meaning of significance tests and why typical misuse occurs. The significance statistic is not a quantitative measure of how confident one can be of the ?reality? of a given result. It is concluded that a significance test very rarely provides useful quantitative information.

@article{Ambaum2010Significance, abstract = {AbstractA large fraction of papers in the climate literature includes erroneous uses of significance tests. A Bayesian analysis is presented to highlight the meaning of significance tests and why typical misuse occurs. The significance statistic is not a quantitative measure of how confident one can be of the ?reality? of a given result. It is concluded that a significance test very rarely provides useful quantitative information.}, added-at = {2018-06-18T21:23:34.000+0200}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, author = {Ambaum, Maarten H. P.}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/25dd261f91a5d7a846c96cdc963ce4224/pbett}, citeulike-article-id = {7705046}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://arxiv.org/abs/arXiv:1003.2934}, citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010JCLI3746.1}, citeulike-linkout-2 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010jcli3746.1}, day = 24, doi = {10.1175/2010jcli3746.1}, eprint = {arXiv:1003.2934}, interhash = {514a2c027aab8a97984b1d72b6a03344}, intrahash = {5dd261f91a5d7a846c96cdc963ce4224}, journal = {J. Climate}, keywords = {climate climatechange climatology statistics}, month = aug, number = 22, pages = {5927--5932}, posted-at = {2014-02-17 17:57:09}, priority = {2}, publisher = {American Meteorological Society}, timestamp = {2018-06-22T18:34:09.000+0200}, title = {Significance Tests in Climate Science}, url = {http://arxiv.org/abs/arXiv:1003.2934}, volume = 23, year = 2010 }