Techreport,

An approach for the identification of nonlinear, dynamic processes with Kalman Filter-trained recurrent neural structures.

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Technical Report, 229. Department of Computer Science, (May 1999)

Abstract

In this article we demonstrate the identification of a nonlinear, dynamic process with recurrent neural structures. The employed network-structure is a Recurrent Multilayer Perceptron (RMLP), which combines feedforward-- and recurrent architectures. We will show that RMLPs are capable of learning the temporal behavior and characteristic of an arbitrary, nonlinear, dynamic process. Apart from conventional gradient-based algorithms, a sophisticated statistical method has been considered for this challenging task - Global Extended Kalman Filtering (GEKF). This powerful algorithm yields neural structures with a significantly better performance, compared to conventional gradient-based approaches. The new element in this work is the application of the GEKF-Algorithm for recurrent neural structures, which are employed in the identification of nonlinear, dynamic processes. In order to supervise the quality of network-training, appropriate performance-indexes for neural identification are introduced. The distribution of the Moving Average Squared Error (MASE) is employed as an objective optimality-criterion, in order to survey the actual performance of recurrent neural structures during training.

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