Abstract
In order to predict the number of changes in the follow-
ing months for the project Eclipse, we have applied a statis-
tical (non-explanatory) model based on time series analy-
sis. We have obtained the monthly number of changes in
the CVS repository of Eclipse, using the CVSAnalY tool.
The input to our model was the filtered series of the num-
ber of changes per month, and the output was the number
of changes per month for the next three months. Then we
aggregated the results of the three months to obtain the to-
tal number of changes in the given period in the challenge.
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