Inproceedings,

Simulated adaptive management for timber and wildlife under uncertainty

, and .
Proceedings of the 1997 Symposium on Systems Analysis in Forest Resources, (1997)

Abstract

ABSTRACT.—A spatially explicit stochastic behavior simulation model for the endangered red-cockaded woodpeckers (Picoides borealis) is coupled with a forest management optimization algorithm to simulate adaptive (feedback) management within an uncertain environment. To update the adaptive forest harvest schedule in a timely manner during each management planning period, a genetic algorithm heuristic is employed. This model is used to evaluate management policies for the production of timber and red-cockaded woodpeckers. Forest management plans are typically based on an “optimal ” activity schedule which can be rendered infeasible during implementation due to changes in the resources being managed and management goals. Thus in practice, such an activity schedule is evaluated periodically during implementation, and is often replaced with a newly generated “optimal ” schedule. This paper describes an analytical tool for evaluating management strategies that take into account this adaptive implementation of activity schedules. Computer simulation models offer valuable, and often the only, tools for testing and examining intricate theories concerning the response of wildlife to management activities. This is especially true for species that depend on a variety of resources in specific spatial patterns at the landscape level. In this study a spatially explicit wildlife behavior simulation model is coupled with forest management optimization algorithm to simulate adaptive management (feedback) for timber and wildlife benefits. Uncertainty is introduced into the system through the

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