Abstract
Getting a tenured position in economics in Germany is viewed as a random
outcome where the probability of tenure depends on the quantity and qual-
ity of publications, age and years since PhD. We measure publications both
in units of Top 5 journals and in units of the European Economic Review
(EER). We
nd that the average age of a professor in the year of his
rst
appointment in Germany in the period of 1970 to 2005 is 38. This is ap-
proximately 8 years after the PhD. He has 1.5 standardizedTop 5 papers
or 2.2 standardizedEER papers, i.e. written with one coauthor and of 20
pages length. Results vary across sub
elds and over time. Someone aiming
for a tenured job after 2010 should by then (average over all
elds) have
3.3 standardized Top 5 papers or 5 standardized EER papers.
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