Article,

Genealogies in bistable waves

, and .
Electronic Journal of Probability, 27 (none): 1 -- 99 (2022)
DOI: 10.1214/22-EJP845

Abstract

We study a model of selection acting on a diploid population (one in which each individual carries two copies of each gene) living in one spatial dimension. We suppose a particular gene appears in two forms (alleles) A and a, and that individuals carrying AA have a higher fitness than aa individuals, while Aa individuals have a lower fitness than both AA and aa individuals. The proportion of advantageous A alleles expands through the population approximately according to a travelling wave. We prove that on a suitable timescale, the genealogy of a sample of A alleles taken from near the wavefront converges to a Kingman coalescent as the population density goes to infinity. This contrasts with the case of directional selection in which the corresponding limit is thought to be the Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent. The proof uses ‘tracer dynamics’.

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