Abstract
Despite its importance, choosing the structural form of the kernel in
nonparametric regression remains a black art. We define a space of kernel
structures which are built compositionally by adding and multiplying a small
number of base kernels. We present a method for searching over this space of
structures which mirrors the scientific discovery process. The learned
structures can often decompose functions into interpretable components and
enable long-range extrapolation on time-series datasets. Our structure search
method outperforms many widely used kernels and kernel combination methods on a
variety of prediction tasks.
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