Zusammenfassung
Taylor's law (TL) states that the variance $V$ of a non-negative random
variable is a power function of its mean $M$, i.e. $V=a M^b$. The ubiquitous
empirical verification of TL, typically displaying sample exponents $b \simeq
2$, suggests a context-independent mechanism. However, theoretical studies of
population dynamics predict a broad range of values of $b$. Here, we explain
this apparent contradiction by using large deviations theory to derive a
generalized TL in terms of sample and populations exponents $b_jk$ for the
scaling of the $k$-th vs the $j$-th cumulant (conventional TL is recovered for
$b=b_12$), with the sample exponent found to depend predictably on the number
of observed samples. Thus, for finite numbers of observations one observes
sample exponents $b_jkk/j$ (thus $b\simeq2$) independently of
population exponents. Empirical analyses on two datasets support our
theoretical results.
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