Abstract
Planning and decision-making can be improved by access to reliable
forecasts of ecosystem state, ecosystem services, and natural capital.
Availability of new data sets, together with progress in computation
and statistics, will increase our ability to forecast ecosystem change.
An agenda that would lead toward a capacity to produce, evaluate,
and communicate forecasts of critical ecosystem services requires
a process that engages scientists and decision-makers. Interdisciplinary
linkages are necessary because of the climate and societal controls
on ecosystems, the feedbacks involving social change, and the decision-making
relevance of forecasts.
predictive knowledge as a guide to decision-making (pielke2003..)
ecological forecasting
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