Article,

Results for the Stepping Stone Model for Migration in Population Genetics

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The Annals of Probability, 4 (5): 699--728 (October 1976)
DOI: 10.1214/aop/1176995980

Abstract

The stepping stone model descrbies a situation in which beasts alternately migrate among an infinite array of colonies, undergo random mating within each colony, and are subject to selectively neutral mutation at the rate u. Assume the beasts follow a random walk $\X_n\$. If $u=0$, we show that two randomly chosen beasts in the $n$th generation in any bounded set are genetically identical at a given locus with probability converging to one iff the symmetrization of $\X_n\$ is recurrent. In general, if either $u=0$ or $u$ is of order $1/n$, this probability converges to its limit at the rate $C/n$ for finite variance walks in one dimension and $C/(n)^a$ in two, with other rates for other classes of $\X_n\$. More complicated rates ensue for $u O(1/n)$.

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