Article,

A model of significant wave height for reliability assessment of a ship

, and .
Journal of Marine Systems, (March 2013)
DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2013.03.006

Abstract

The paper gives means to describe variability of encountered sea states by a vessel. A simple model for significant wave heights variability is proposed that features a relatively small number of parameters having very straightforward physical interpretation. The methods are applied to assessment of the expected damage accumulated in a vessel details as well as the variability of the damage. The Rice method is combined with the model to obtain prediction of the extreme seas that could be encountered by a ship. Significant wave heights are modeled by means of a spatial-temporal random Gaussian field. Its dependence structure can be localized by introduction of time and space dependent parameters in the spectrum. The model has the advantage of having a relatively small number of parameters. These parameters have natural physical interpretation and are statistically fitted to represent variability of observed significant wave heights records. The fitted spatial-temporal significant wave field allows for prediction of fatigue accumulation in ship details and of extreme responses encountered. The method is exemplified by analyzing a container ship data relevant for North Atlantic trade and the results show a high agreement with actual on-board measurements.

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