Space-Time Modelling with Long-Memory Dependence: Assessing Ireland's Wind Power Resource
J. Haslett, and A. Raftery. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics), 38 (1):
1--50(1989)
DOI: 10.2307/2347679
Abstract
We consider estimation of the long term average power output from a wind turbine generator at a site for which few data on wind speeds are available. Long term records of wind speeds at the 12 synoptic meteorological stations are also used. Inference is based on a simple and parsimonious approximating model which accounts for the main features of wind speeds in Ireland, namely seasonal effects, spatial correlation, short-memory temporal autocorrelation and long-memory temporal dependence. It synthesizes deseasonalization, kriging, ARMA modelling and fractional differencing in a natural way. A simple kriging estimator performs well as a point estimator, and good interval estimators result from the model. The resulting procedure is easy to apply in practice.
%0 Journal Article
%1 Haslett1989SpaceTime
%A Haslett, John
%A Raftery, Adrian E.
%D 1989
%J Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics)
%K wind statistics
%N 1
%P 1--50
%R 10.2307/2347679
%T Space-Time Modelling with Long-Memory Dependence: Assessing Ireland's Wind Power Resource
%U http://www.jstor.org/stable/2347679
%V 38
%X We consider estimation of the long term average power output from a wind turbine generator at a site for which few data on wind speeds are available. Long term records of wind speeds at the 12 synoptic meteorological stations are also used. Inference is based on a simple and parsimonious approximating model which accounts for the main features of wind speeds in Ireland, namely seasonal effects, spatial correlation, short-memory temporal autocorrelation and long-memory temporal dependence. It synthesizes deseasonalization, kriging, ARMA modelling and fractional differencing in a natural way. A simple kriging estimator performs well as a point estimator, and good interval estimators result from the model. The resulting procedure is easy to apply in practice.
@article{Haslett1989SpaceTime,
abstract = {We consider estimation of the long term average power output from a wind turbine generator at a site for which few data on wind speeds are available. Long term records of wind speeds at the 12 synoptic meteorological stations are also used. Inference is based on a simple and parsimonious approximating model which accounts for the main features of wind speeds in Ireland, namely seasonal effects, spatial correlation, short-memory temporal autocorrelation and long-memory temporal dependence. It synthesizes deseasonalization, kriging, ARMA modelling and fractional differencing in a natural way. A simple kriging estimator performs well as a point estimator, and good interval estimators result from the model. The resulting procedure is easy to apply in practice.},
added-at = {2018-06-18T21:23:34.000+0200},
author = {Haslett, John and Raftery, Adrian E.},
biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/2643cbc96953a53792db616bb8477e2ec/pbett},
citeulike-article-id = {10859008},
citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2347679},
citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2347679},
citeulike-linkout-2 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/info/2347679#bibInfo},
doi = {10.2307/2347679},
interhash = {0bf1d4a8d1762d29448391ec4c785238},
intrahash = {643cbc96953a53792db616bb8477e2ec},
issn = {00350035-9254-9254},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics)},
keywords = {wind statistics},
number = 1,
pages = {1--50},
posted-at = {2012-07-05 11:01:33},
priority = {2},
timestamp = {2018-06-22T18:32:06.000+0200},
title = {Space-Time Modelling with Long-Memory Dependence: Assessing Ireland's Wind Power Resource},
url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2347679},
volume = 38,
year = 1989
}