%0 Journal Article %1 nielsen2015hyperbolic %A Nielsen, Ron W. %D 2015 %K demography growth hyperbolic myown population %T Hyperbolic Growth of the World Population in the Past 12,000 Years %U http://arxiv.org/abs/1510.00992 %X Data describing the growth of the world population in the past 12,000 years are analysed. It is shown that, if unchecked, population does not increase exponentially but hyperbolically. This analysis reveals three approximately-determined episodes of hyperbolic growth: 10,000-500 BC, AD 500-1200 and AD 1400-1950, representing a total of about 89% of the past 12,000 years. It also reveals three demographic transitions: 500 BC to AD 500, AD 1200 to AD 1400 and AD 1950 to present, representing the remaining 11% of the past 12,000 years. The first two transitions were between sustained hyperbolic trajectories. The current transition is to an unknown trajectory. There was never a transition from stagnation because there was no stagnation in the growth of the world population.

@article{nielsen2015hyperbolic, abstract = {Data describing the growth of the world population in the past 12,000 years are analysed. It is shown that, if unchecked, population does not increase exponentially but hyperbolically. This analysis reveals three approximately-determined episodes of hyperbolic growth: 10,000-500 BC, AD 500-1200 and AD 1400-1950, representing a total of about 89% of the past 12,000 years. It also reveals three demographic transitions: 500 BC to AD 500, AD 1200 to AD 1400 and AD 1950 to present, representing the remaining 11% of the past 12,000 years. The first two transitions were between sustained hyperbolic trajectories. The current transition is to an unknown trajectory. There was never a transition from stagnation because there was no stagnation in the growth of the world population.}, added-at = {2015-10-06T08:20:16.000+0200}, author = {Nielsen, Ron W.}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/2723285c2d58c2efe7a77c6db3f54de44/ronwnielsen}, description = {Hyperbolic Growth of the World Population in the Past 12,000 Years}, interhash = {ab25d7dc18c46de1a48e7023131e01aa}, intrahash = {723285c2d58c2efe7a77c6db3f54de44}, keywords = {demography growth hyperbolic myown population}, note = {cite arxiv:1510.00992Comment: 7 pages, 5 figures, 1 table, 2153 words}, timestamp = {2015-10-06T08:35:19.000+0200}, title = {Hyperbolic Growth of the World Population in the Past 12,000 Years}, url = {http://arxiv.org/abs/1510.00992}, year = 2015 }