J. Díaz, R. García, C. López, C. Linares, A. Tobías, and L. Prieto. International journal of biometeorology, 49 (3):
179-83(January 2005)4334<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>LR: 20061115; PUBM: Print-Electronic; DEP: 20040730; JID: 0374716; 2003/10/21 received; 2004/07/05 accepted; 2004/05/08 revised; 2004/07/30 aheadofprint; ppublish;<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>Sèries temporals.
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-004-0224-4
Abstract
During the last few years great attention has been paid to the evaluation of the impact of extreme temperatures on human health. This paper examines the effect of extreme winter temperature on mortality in Madrid for people older than 65, using ARIMA and GAM models. Data correspond to 1,815 winter days over the period 1986-1997, during which time a total of 133,000 deaths occurred. The daily maximum temperature (T(max)) was shown to be the best thermal indicator of the impact of climate on mortality. When total mortality was considered, the maximum impact occurred 7-8 days after a temperature extreme; for circulatory diseases the lag was between 7 and 14 days. When respiratory causes were considered, two mortality peaks were evident at 4-5 and 11 days. When the impact of winter extreme temperatures was compared with that associated with summer extremes, it was found to occur over a longer term, and appeared to be more indirect.
%0 Journal Article
%1 Diaz2005
%A Díaz, Julio
%A García, Ricardo
%A López, César
%A Linares, Cristina
%A Tobías, Aurelio
%A Prieto, Luis
%D 2005
%J International journal of biometeorology
%K Aged CardiovascularDiseases CardiovascularDiseases:mortality ColdClimate ColdClimate:adverseeffects Humans Mortality RespiratoryTractDiseases RespiratoryTractDiseases:mortality Seasons Spain Spain:epidemiology Temperature
%N 3
%P 179-83
%R 10.1007/s00484-004-0224-4
%T Mortality impact of extreme winter temperatures.
%U http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15290433
%V 49
%X During the last few years great attention has been paid to the evaluation of the impact of extreme temperatures on human health. This paper examines the effect of extreme winter temperature on mortality in Madrid for people older than 65, using ARIMA and GAM models. Data correspond to 1,815 winter days over the period 1986-1997, during which time a total of 133,000 deaths occurred. The daily maximum temperature (T(max)) was shown to be the best thermal indicator of the impact of climate on mortality. When total mortality was considered, the maximum impact occurred 7-8 days after a temperature extreme; for circulatory diseases the lag was between 7 and 14 days. When respiratory causes were considered, two mortality peaks were evident at 4-5 and 11 days. When the impact of winter extreme temperatures was compared with that associated with summer extremes, it was found to occur over a longer term, and appeared to be more indirect.
%@ 0020-7128
@article{Diaz2005,
abstract = {During the last few years great attention has been paid to the evaluation of the impact of extreme temperatures on human health. This paper examines the effect of extreme winter temperature on mortality in Madrid for people older than 65, using ARIMA and GAM models. Data correspond to 1,815 winter days over the period 1986-1997, during which time a total of 133,000 deaths occurred. The daily maximum temperature (T(max)) was shown to be the best thermal indicator of the impact of climate on mortality. When total mortality was considered, the maximum impact occurred 7-8 days after a temperature extreme; for circulatory diseases the lag was between 7 and 14 days. When respiratory causes were considered, two mortality peaks were evident at 4-5 and 11 days. When the impact of winter extreme temperatures was compared with that associated with summer extremes, it was found to occur over a longer term, and appeared to be more indirect.},
added-at = {2023-02-03T11:44:35.000+0100},
author = {Díaz, Julio and García, Ricardo and López, César and Linares, Cristina and Tobías, Aurelio and Prieto, Luis},
biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/28af5796c4fcea3d48bb2d0049c1e9699/jepcastel},
city = {Centro Universitario de Salud Publica, Universidad Autonoma de Madrid, C/Gran Via 27, 28013 Madrid, Spain. julio.diaz@uam.es},
doi = {10.1007/s00484-004-0224-4},
interhash = {aaf393553a8dc68f36661ecb158e5431},
intrahash = {8af5796c4fcea3d48bb2d0049c1e9699},
isbn = {0020-7128},
issn = {0020-7128},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
keywords = {Aged CardiovascularDiseases CardiovascularDiseases:mortality ColdClimate ColdClimate:adverseeffects Humans Mortality RespiratoryTractDiseases RespiratoryTractDiseases:mortality Seasons Spain Spain:epidemiology Temperature},
month = {1},
note = {4334<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>LR: 20061115; PUBM: Print-Electronic; DEP: 20040730; JID: 0374716; 2003/10/21 [received]; 2004/07/05 [accepted]; 2004/05/08 [revised]; 2004/07/30 [aheadofprint]; ppublish;<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>Sèries temporals},
number = 3,
pages = {179-83},
pmid = {15290433},
timestamp = {2023-02-03T11:44:35.000+0100},
title = {Mortality impact of extreme winter temperatures.},
url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15290433},
volume = 49,
year = 2005
}