Abstract
This work investigates three aspects: (a) a network vulnerability as the
non-uniform vulnerable-host distribution, (b) threats, i.e., intelligent
malwares that exploit such a vulnerability, and (c) defense, i.e., challenges
for fighting the threats. We first study five large data sets and observe
consistent clustered vulnerable-host distributions. We then present a new
metric, referred to as the non-uniformity factor, which quantifies the
unevenness of a vulnerable-host distribution. This metric is essentially the
Renyi information entropy and better characterizes the non-uniformity of a
distribution than the Shannon entropy. Next, we analyze the propagation speed
of network-aware malwares in view of information theory. In particular, we draw
a relationship between Renyi entropies and randomized epidemic malware-scanning
algorithms. We find that the infection rates of malware-scanning methods are
characterized by the Renyi entropies that relate to the information bits in a
non-unform vulnerable-host distribution extracted by a randomized scanning
algorithm. Meanwhile, we show that a representative network-aware malware can
increase the spreading speed by exactly or nearly a non-uniformity factor when
compared to a random-scanning malware at an early stage of malware propagation.
This quantifies that how much more rapidly the Internet can be infected at the
early stage when a malware exploits an uneven vulnerable-host distribution as a
network-wide vulnerability. Furthermore, we analyze the effectiveness of
defense strategies on the spread of network-aware malwares. Our results
demonstrate that counteracting network-aware malwares is a significant
challenge for the strategies that include host-based defense and IPv6.
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