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Probability is perfect, but we can't elicit it perfectly.

, and . Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 85 (1-3): 239-248 (2004)

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When Is a Model Good Enough? Deriving the Expected Value of Model Improvement via Specifying Internal Model Discrepancies., and . SIAM/ASA J. Uncertain. Quantification, 2 (1): 106-125 (2014)Calibration of Stochastic Computer Simulators Using Likelihood Emulation., and . Technometrics, 59 (1): 80-92 (2017)Probability is perfect, but we can't elicit it perfectly., and . Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 85 (1-3): 239-248 (2004)Quantifying atrial anatomy uncertainty from clinical data and its impact on electro-physiology simulation predictions., , , , , , , , , and 1 other author(s). Medical Image Anal., (2020)Probabilistic Interpolation of Uncertain Local Activation Times on Human Atrial Manifolds., , , , , , , , , and . IEEE Trans. Biomed. Eng., 67 (1): 99-109 (2020)The cost-effectiveness of surgical instrument management policies to reduce the risk of vCJD transmission to humans., , , and . JORS, 60 (4): 506-518 (2009)Multivariate Gaussian Process Emulators With Nonseparable Covariance Structures., , and . Technometrics, 55 (1): 47-56 (2013)Efficient History Matching of a High Dimensional Individual-Based HIV Transmission Model., , , , , , , and . SIAM/ASA J. Uncertain. Quantification, 5 (1): 694-719 (2017)Gaussian Process Manifold Interpolation for Probabilistic Atrial Activation Maps and Uncertain Conduction Velocity., , , , , , , , , and . CoRR, (2020)Bayesian History Matching of Complex Infectious Disease Models Using Emulation: A Tutorial and a Case Study on HIV in Uganda., , , , , , , and . PLoS Comput. Biol., (2015)