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Model-free forecasting outperforms the correct mechanistic model for simulated and experimental data., , and . Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, (February 2013)Are exploited fish populations stable?, , , , , , , , , and 4 other author(s). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 108 (48): E1224--5; author reply E1226 (November 2011)Regime shift indicators fail under noise levels commonly observed in ecological systems, and . Ecological Applications, 22 (6): 1772--1779 (September 2012)Adaptive human behavior in epidemiological models., , , , , , , , , and 3 other author(s). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, (March 2011)Ecology. The biodiversity and ecosystem services science-policy interface., , , and . Science (New York, N.Y.), 331 (6021): 1139--40 (March 2011)Novel nonparametric approaches to stock assessment and regime shift prediction. (2010)