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Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme., , , , and . Decision Analysis, 11 (2): 133-145 (2014)Sober second thought: The effects of accountability, anger, and authoritarianism on attributions of responsibility, , and . Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 24 (6): 563-574 (1998)Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy., , , and . CoRR, (2024)Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses., , , , and . Decision Analysis, 13 (2): 128-152 (2016)From what might have been to what must have been: Counterfactual thinking creates meaning., , , , , and . Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 98 (1): 106--118 (2010)Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting., , , and . Manag. Sci., 67 (12): 7599-7618 (2021)The Promise of Prediction Markets, , , , , , , , , and 12 other author(s). Science, (May 2008)AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy., , , and . CoRR, (2024)Symbolic Racism. Problems of Motive Attribution in Political Analysis, and . Journal of Social Issues, (1986)Accountability: The Neglected Social Context of Judgment and Choice. Research in Organizational Behavior, (1985)