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Estimation of Drift and Diffusion function in presence of measurement noise

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Abstract Book of the XXIII IUPAP International Conference on Statistical Physics, Genova, Italy, (9-13 July 2007)

Abstract

The understanding of complex systems greatly has benefited from the concept of order parameters, that obey stochastic partial differential equations 1. Recently, a method for the direct estimation of these equation from measured data sets has been proposed 2. However, this procedure involves the estimation of the moments of the transition probability density functions (pdfs) in the limit of infinitesimal small increments in time, that frequently are not accessible from discrete measurements. Moreover, measurement noise seriously impacts the transition pdfs at small time increments and, therefore, tampers the results of the estimation procedure. This contribution addresses the progress of two recent works with respect to this shortcoming. First, an iterative method was proposed, that avoids the limiting procedure and, therefore, is less sensitive to measurement noise 3. It is based on the iterative optimisation of the transition pdfs in reference to the pdfs, that directly can be obtained form the measured data set. Recently, the conformance of this procedure with maximum likelihood methods could be demonstrated 4. Second, the former method could be extended for noisy data 5. Thereby, the increasing impacts of measurement noise on the transition pdfs at small time increments can be utilised for the simultaneous estimation of the noise amplitude and the process' dynamics. For the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, closed expressions for the estimation procedure could be derived, that permit the proper reconstruction even in case of high noise amplitudes.\\ 1) H.~Haken. Synergetics. Springer Series in Synergetics. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 2004. Introduction and advanced topics, Reprint of the third (1983) edition Synergetics and the first (1983) edition Advanced synergetics.\\ 2) S.~Siegert, R.~Friedrich, and J.~Peinke. Analysis of datasets of stochastic systems. \newblock Physics Letters A, 243:275--280, 1998.\\ 3) D.~Kleinhans, R.~Friedrich, A.~Nawroth, and J.~Peinke. An iterative procedure for the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients of langevin processes. \newblock Phys Lett A, 346:42--46, 2005.\\ 4) D.~Kleinhans and R.~Friedrich. \newblock Maximum likelihood estimation of drift and diffusion functions. (to be published in Phys. Lett. A), preprint available at http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0611102.\\ 5) F.~Boettcher, J.~Peinke, D.~Kleinhans, R.~Friedrich, P.G.~Lind, and M.~Haase. Reconstruction of complex dynamical systems affected by strong measurement noise. Phys. Rev. Lett., 97:090603, 2006.

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