Among the consequences of Europe's abandonment of its religious roots and the [resulting] moral code is a plunge in birth rates to below the replacement level. ... Europe is "committing demographic suicide, systematically depopulating itself."
This report was issued by OCHA Humanitarian Support Unit, UN RC / HC Office. It covers the period from 26 August -06 September 2010. This will be the final Situation Report. The updates on the flood situation will be in the Monthly Report
Transnational InstituteHunger is not a scourge but a scandal. This is the premise of Susan George's classic study of world hunger. Contrary to popular opinion, malnutrition and starvation are not the result of over-population, of poor climate or lack of c
Gail Tverberg: "In my view, oil and gas resource limits are major contributors to the conflict in Syria. This is happening in several ways: 1. Syria is an oil exporter that is in increasingly perilous financial condition because of depleting oil resources. When oil production is increasing, it can help an oil exporter in two ways: (a) part of the of the oil supply can be used internally, to grow more food and to support increased industry, and (b) exports of oil can be used to provide revenue for governmental programs such as food subsidies, education, and building highways. Syria’s population grew from 8.8 million in 1980 to 22.8 million in 2012, at least in part because of the wealth available from oil extraction."
AT no point in recorded history has our world been so demographically lopsided, with old people concentrated in rich countries and the young in not-so-rich countries. Cf.
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2177.html
The rise in global life expectancy for men and women by about six years is mainly the result of dramatic advances in health care, according to a study published in the journal Lancet.
The Online Historical Population Reports (OHPR) collection provides online access to the complete British population reports for Britain and Ireland from 1801 to 1937.
The collection goes far beyond the basic population reports with a wealth of textual and statistical material which provide an in-depth view of the economy, society (through births, deaths and marriages) and medicine during the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries.
These 200,000 pages of census and registration material for the British Isles are supported by numerous ancillary documents from The National Archives, critical essays and transcriptions of important legislation which provide an aid to understanding the context, content and creation of the collection.
...once the population replacement rate R dips below 1, corresponding to a per-woman fertility rate of less than about 2.1 in a balanced age structure, then, apart from immigration which is inherently a temporary fix, the economic cost/benefit of having children becomes inexorably worse over time. To the extent that a rich society actually needs citizens with specialized and expensive educations – and perhaps it doesn’t – it is hard to see any path to reversing this unfavorable balance. A dramatic reduction in resource costs might do it, or a miracle of technology, or successful wars of conquest – but none of these seem very probable. / När befolkningsersättningsgraden R sjunker under 1, vilket motsvarar en fertilitetsgrad per kvinna på mindre än cirka 2,1 i en balanserad åldersstruktur, blir den ekonomiska kostnaden/nyttan av att skaffa barn obönhörligt sämre med tiden, bortsett från invandring som till sin natur är en tillfällig lösning. I den mån ett rikt samhälle faktiskt behöver medborgare med specialiserade och dyra utbildningar - och kanske behöver det inte det - är det svårt att se någon väg för att vända denna ogynnsamma balans. En dramatisk minskning av resurskostnaderna skulle kunna göra det, eller ett tekniskt mirakel, eller framgångsrika erövringskrig - men inget av detta verkar särskilt troligt.
No society with fertility below replacement level has yet recovered. / Inget samhälle med en fertilitet under ersättningsnivån har ännu återhämtat sig.
This process was voted from nature most important invention of the 20th century. It makes fertilisers that doubled the earth population. Explained in the GWAL 2007 invited speak on Godel.
